Italy vs Germany. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats and more


Italy will host Germany at the Renato Dall’Ara in the UEFA Nations League. The match will take place on June 5, beginning at 00:15 IST.

Italalians were thrashed in the Finalissima and approach one of the most important matches in the Nations League in a despondent state. Still, the game against Germany will not be any worse – the Azzurri are, after all, an experienced team and they are very motivated to rehabilitate themselves. Admittedly, the German Machine are a very dangerous side at the moment, however, it is unclear in what form they are approaching the encounter with the first four rounds of the Nations League coming just after the end of the club season, the players are certainly not in the best physical condition. But one thing is certain, the game is full of intrigue and will clearly not be an easy walk for either team. The home walls and the incredible motivation will help Mancini’s men.

Parimatchnews will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Italy News & Current Form:

It is time for Roberto Mancini’s side to make amends and prove once again their worth and their right to be in the elite. Fortunately, there will be a match against a tough German side in Bologna at the Renato Dall’Ara stadium. A great chance to make at least a little bit of apology to the fans.

The Italian national team has already played one match in June, the new tournament called Finalissima, a game between the European and South American сontinental champions. The final in London turned out to be depressing for the Scuadra. Lionel Messi and company were better at everything: they controlled the game and already in the first half they earned a solid lead.

Roberto Mancini tried to turn the tide with three substitutions at half-time, but it didn’t work – the Italians failed to score even a goal of prestige. And striker Paulo Dybala brought the scoreline to a dramatic one in the stoppage time. And there have been enough questions about the Italians’ current form before the match. The situation now seems like the plot of a Cinderella fairy tale. 

After winning the Euros, they have now played ten matches, claiming just three victories. Defeating modest Lithuania 5-0, beating Turkey in a friendly match and a match for third place in the League of Nations against Belgium in which Roberto Martinez simply did not field the strongest squad. A pity for the reigning European champions.

Injured: Domenico Berardi, Ciro Immobile, Federico Chiesa, Gaetano Castrovilli, Rafael Toloi, Nicolo Zaniolo.

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Germany News & Current Form:

A generational change in the German national team has been lingering: yes, there are more and more new faces, but the old familiar players are still in the starting line-up, albeit gradually less and less. Now, Hansi Flick will have to build a capable team from a few stars and a lot of average players. Preferably in time for the Qatar World Cup, as in the last major international tournaments the national team performed extremely unconvincingly.

Now they are waiting for a breakthrough. The Nations League is an ideal opportunity to gain momentum and increase the chemistry.

The DFB Eleven are in a tough group, apart from the Italians, there are also the English, who prevented Flick’s side from reaching the Euro quarterfinals, for a second. And even the sturdy Hungarians are not so easy to beat.

Flik is still trying to assimilate some new players into the squad, but in course of this competition, he should start focusing on masterting of the final scheme and the most competitive starting line-up for the World Cup.

At the moment, there are many positions that will need to be settled in the course of the summer matches of the Nations League. One could say that the abundance of applicants for each position in the starting line-up is a pleasant headache for Flik, but it can also create enough trouble.

For Germany, the biggest problem is the relative dearth of matches that will serve to assess the team’s actual level. In the qualifying group, the Germans confidently thrashed Liechtenstein, Armenia, Iceland and others – 27 points out of 10 matches. The national team of Northern Macedonia also suffered, finishing in second place, and then miraculously knocking out Italy in the play-offs.

There was also a friendly against the Netherlands, where the Germans, playing with a close to optimal squad, outclassed their opponents but failed to hold on to the winning score. In general, judging by their recent results, the Nationalelf look more attractive than their upcoming opponents. They also look stronger in terms of the squad depth, and the fatigue from the match with Argentina will obviously not do the Italians any good.

Unavailable: Marc-Andre ter Stegen, Julian Draxler.

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Italy season form guide (all competitions): W-D-D-L-W-L

Germany season form guide (all competitions): W-W-W-W-W-D

Italy vs Germany Head-To-Head Record:


The Italians and Germans have produced the following results in their last three head-to-head encounters:

  • 15.11.16 Italy – Germany 0-0;
  • 02.07.16 Germany v Italy 1-1, in a penalty shoot-out (6-5);
  • 29.03.16 Germany v Italy 4-1.

Italy vs Germany Predicted XI:

Italy possible starting lineup (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma; Emerson, Alessandro Bastoni, Leonardo Bonucci, Cristiano Biraghi; Sandro Tonali, Marco Verratti, Nicolo Barella; Federico Bernardeschi, Lorenzo Insigne, Gianluca Scamacca.

Germany possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer; Thilo Kehrer, Antonio Rudiger, Nico Schlotterbeck, David Raum; Joshua Kimmich, Jamal Musiala; Serge Gnabry, Thomas Muller, Leroy Sane; Timo Werner.

Statistical preview of the match Italy vs Germany:

  • The Germans have won 8 of their last 9 games, but the Italians have won just one of their last 5 encounters.
  • Italy have scored against the Germans in eight of their last nine head-to-head encounters.
  • Italy have scored in 16 of their last 17 home matches.
  • Germany have conceded in nine consecutive UEFA Nations League away games.
  • Germany have scored (regulation time) in 7 consecutive away matches.

What has been said before the match:

Roberto Mancini:

Hansi Flick

“We were all surprised that Italy were knocked out and it’s not easy to predict how they will play.”

“It’s the second time Mancini has started a new cycle. He has a very big squad with young, ambitious players. He did a fantastic job after the World Cup in Russia.

“I think we were all fans (of the Italian team) during the European Championship – the team spirit and how they played was impressive. He will try to do the same again and has the quality to implement that.”

“We want to be back among the world’s best. Now we’ll have to see what the four games yield and see what we need to do better before the 2022 World Cup.”

Italy vs Germany Prediction:

In recent years, Italy have had too few victories over really serious opponents, and this match looks like a no-win for them as well. But they probably won’t go down without a fight on home soil either.

Both teams are considered grandees of European football, but there are a lot of questions regarding their performance and results. The Italians have more pending issues for the moment. Once they had to prove that their success at UEFA EURO was no accident, Mancini’s side suffered one failure after another. The Germans, although not as intimidating as before, are stable and should not lose to a team like Italy, even away. Another thing is that the Bundesmanschaft has problems in defense, and Mancini obviously needs to stop experimenting in attack and field the optimal squad which can take advantage of the Germans’ problems.

Parimatch News staff prediction: 

We say: Germany will not lose and both teams to score – Yes.