UEFA Euro 2020 Final Preview: Italy vs England. Probable Lineups, Fixtures, Predictions. Team News, Stats
The Euro 2020 final between Italy and England will take place in London at legendary Wembley on the 11th of July. Kick-off at 20:00 BST (0:30 IST, Sunday night).
Crystal Palace, Aston Villa and Middlesbrough star Gareth Southgate, the 2018 Cavalier of the British Empire, seems to have ended England’s misery. Is it coming home, England?
Even if England loses the final, no one else will throw a stone at Southgate: he has completely redeemed himself for the miss on Andreas Koepke’s goal 25 years ago. And if England wins the European Championship, who knows, maybe the famous chant “It’s Coming Home” will have to be rewritten…
The united chorus of the Italian national team and its supporters is ready to echo through the Wembley stands once again for all to hear the words “Fratelli d’Italia”…
Before the Euros, Italy was among the top five favourites for the Euros, but never a main contender for the trophy.
Roberto Mancini has transformed the Squadra Azzurra into one of the best teams in Europe in just two years. The Italians’ unbeaten run of games now stands at 33. The experienced coach seems to have a plan to bring the long-awaited trophy to the Apennine peninsula.
However, these two teams have shown good football, albeit not without difficulties like extra-times or penalty shoot-outs – the showdown will be very interesting and we think you are definitely curious to find out which team will be stronger.
Parimatchnews prepared the exclusive preview and prediction special for our readers, after this piece you will know everything to place a victorious bet.
Italy News & Current Form:
Italy started the tournament with four wins in five games. They beat Turkey (3-0), Switzerland (3-0) and Wales (1-0) in the group stage and rolled over the Belgians 2-1 in the quarter-finals.
The Scuadra Azzurras drew once, 0-0. At the 1/8 finals stage, the Italians outplayed the Austrians only in overtime, 2-1. In the semi-finals, Roberto Mancini’s side were on the verge of relegation. The regular and extra time of the match against Spain ended in a draw, 1-1. The Italians were stronger only in the penalty shoot-out – 4-2.
It must be said that Italy are slowly getting weaker as the tournament progresses. Perhaps the team is becoming physically drained, or maybe the opponents are just getting more difficult.
Moreover, the team suffered the loss of the crucial player – Leonardo Spinazzola, which has weakened the already problematic flanks that the English wingers will definitely be tearing up. The start of an important Federico Chiesa is also in doubt.
The Squadra Azzurra were just one step away from a medal at the last UEFA EURO. In the quarter-final, they lost to Germany in a penalty shoot-out.
This is the second final for the Italians in ten years. They had previously played in the decisive match in 2012 but lost to Spain 0-4.
England News & Current Form:
The English national team made it through the group stage comfortably. They got zeros against Scotland and quietly outplayed Croatia and the Czech Republic. In both cases, the Three Lions won 1-0. In the play-offs, Gareth Southgate’s side demolished Germany (2-0) and Ukraine (4-0).
They conceded the first goal of the tournament only in the semi-finals. The Three Lions drew 1-1 with Denmark in 90 minutes, but were stronger in the extra time, 1-0. The winning goal was scored by Harry Kane, who became England’s top scorer at major tournaments.
There is much speculation about whether Raheem Sterling has any remorse about having to dive so picturesquely after a challenge from Matthias Jensen. Apparently not, because he hinted unequivocally that he wanted to win at any cost. But not by that we guess…
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Danes are already cursing Danny McKeley – for the first time this Euros the referee influenced the outcome of the game so much. It’s not hard to guess who the Danes and the rest of the concerned world will support in the final.
Italy vs England Head-To-Head Record:
The Italians and England have played 30 head-to-head encounters in their history.
The previous meeting between the European heavyweights took place in 2018 and ended in a tight 1-1 draw. Lorenzo Insigne scored a late goal and he is ready to score once again being in great form.
The overall statistics look as follows:
| Italy | Draw | England |
| 11 | 11 | 8 |
Lorenzo Insigne’s late penalty denied England a second 1-0 win in the international break
Italy last matches (all competitions): W-W-W-W-W-W
England last matches (all competitions): D-D-W-W-W-W
Italy vs England Predicted XI:
Italy Predicted XI (4-3-3): Gianluigi Donnarumma; Emerson Palmieri, Giorgio Chiellini, Leonardo Bonucci, Giovanni Di Lorenzo; Jorginho, Manuel Locatelli, Nicolo Barella; Federico Chiesa, Lorenzo Insigne, Ciro Immobile
England Predicted XI (4-2-3-1): Jordan Pickford; Kyle Walker, Harry Maguire, John Stones, Luke Shaw; Declan Rice, Kalvin Phillips; Mason Mount, Bukayo Saka, Raheem Sterling; Harry Kane
The Euro 2020 final will be held at Wembley
Statistical preview of the match Italy vs England:
- After beating Spain, Italy reached the final of major tournaments for the 10th time. It is the second-highest total among European teams.
- Italy won 13 meetings in a row
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in 5 of England’s last 6 games.
- Italy have scored in regular time in 11 of their last 12 official matches.
- Italy have not conceded in 90 minutes in 9 of the last 11 last meetings.
- England have not scored more than 1 goal in 90 minutes in 9 of their previous 12 games at the Euros.
We also give you a more detailed description of the teams:
| Italy | England | |
| FIFA ranking | 7th | 4th |
| Aggregate squad cost | €850 million | €1.01 billion |
| The most expensive player | Federico Chiesa, Gianluigi Donnarumma, Marco Verratti, Nicolo Barella – around €60m each | Harry Kane – €120m, |
Italy vs England Prediction:
In the decisive match of the tournament, we are seeing some really powerful teams, each with their own style of play, their own face and their own way of achieving the desired result.
England are the favourites to win according to Parimatch.
| Italy | Draw (90 min) | England |
| 3.15 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
According to the laws of the genre, the UEFA Euro final will probably not be an easy affair, with endless raids and machine-gun fire on both goals. Instead, we will likely have a tense, but entertaining 1.5-hour thriller that could have a dramatic ending at extra time.
The stakes will be too high in every sense – for the slightest mistake, a player will be accused in a way that neither Gareth Southgate nor Roberto Bajdo could ever dream of. And because the stakes are so high, few goals will likely be scored.
ParimatchNews staff prediction:
We say:
1. Based on the above, it is likely to be a draw in the regular time.
3-way betting (full-time) – Draw for 3.05.
2. Risky: England are slight favourites, so we can bet that England will win in the penalty shoot-out in case of an extra-time draw. There is no psychological pressure on the English lads, as for the penalty shootout – two series under Southgate have been won. Also, the support of the stands and the familiar home ground will give them confidence.
England wins in penalty – Yes for 8.50.
3. In terms of fouls, Italy should have the lead regardless of how the game goes. The Italians are more active and aggressive without the ball, fouling more often to keep their opponents at bay. The English are often dropping back, and due to their masterful positioning, they deny the opponents the opportunity to move forward. Also, Italy are almost the most foul-taking team in the tournament – 72, while England have committed only 58.
Fouls – Italy for 2.05. Or Yellow Cards – Italy for 2.30.
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