Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more

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Real Madrid have suffered only one defeat this season - against Atletico Madrid. Will Carlo Ancelotti's men be able to avenge them and make it to the Spanish Super Cup final?

Real Madrid CF will host Atlético de Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup semifinal match at the Al-Awwal Park Stadium in Saudi Arabia. The fixture will take place on Thursday, January 11, beginning at 00:30 IST.

Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Real Madrid News & Current Form: 

The Blancos have won the domestic Super Cup 12 times, but missed the chance to add to that list last season, losing 3:2 to FC Barcelona in the El Clasico after beating Valencia on penalties in the semi-finals. 

They also finished second in the Primera last season and are now hungry to regain their crown in Spain and in the UEFA Champions League, where they qualified for the playoffs from first place by winning all six of their group games against SSC Napoli, SC Braga and FC Union Berlin

For the entire first round of La Liga, the nominal hosts suffered only one defeat – in the derby against Atletico at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium (3:1). As a result, this was Real’s only failure in all competitions, as in the group stage of the main continental championship Madrid achieved a phenomenal result (6 victories out of 6). 

Leading the championship with 48 points, the team is fighting for the first line of the national championship with Girona FC, which has the same number of points. Last weekend, the wards of Carlo Ancelotti won the Copa del Rey over semi-amateur club Arandina CF (1:3), for 90 minutes they allowed the opponent to strike only one blow. Arda Guler finally made his long-awaited debut for the capital city club, with Joselu Mato, Brahim Diaz and Rodrygo scoring goals.

The game was remembered not so much for the final result and what was happening on the field, but for a beautiful act on the part of Bellingham, who sat on the bench for the entire meeting. The football player gave his plaid to the ball boy to keep him warm. 

Also in 2024 was the match against RCD Mallorca with a score of 1:0. As a result, Real Madrid approached the Spanish Super Cup semifinals in great shape with a 5-match winning streak and a 19-match unbeaten streak. 

The Whites display classy, dominant football and very rarely lose points. In 22 out of 26 matches in all official tournaments they have won, during this period of time the Spanish club have conceded only 19 goals and scored 59 goals. This is despite the fact that the club has been plagued by serious personnel losses.

Top scorer of Real Madrid and La Liga with 13 goals scored – Jude Bellingham

Thibaut Courtois, Eduardo Camavinga, Vinicius Júnior, Ferland Mendy, Dani Carvajal and Arda Güler have only recently recovered from injuries. And players like David Alaba, Lucas Vazquez and Eder Militao are still recovering from earlier injuries, while Brazilian attacker Rodrygo (7 goals, 4 assists in La Liga) will keep Jude Bellingham (La Liga’s top scorer with 13 goals) company in attack. Mendy may come in on the left flank of the defense after missing the last three matches due to injury, while Toni Kroos will appear in midfield alongside Luca Modric and Federico Valverde

By the way, Real Madrid have had a tough time in recent derbies with Atletico. The Blancos have lost two of their three La Liga matches away from home and drew 1:1 at home last season. In last year’s Cup quarterfinals, Ancelloti’s men managed to take the lead, but only in extra time – the main game ended 1:1. So Real will surely have a serious mindset for revenge, especially since the upcoming opponent is now vulnerable.

For both teams, this meeting is an away game. It will take place in Saudi Arabia, but for Atletico this could be a decisive factor. In the Primera, they are not characterized by a stable away game, as evidenced by their 26% of points scored outside Madrid. 

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Atletico Madrid News & Current Form: 

Atletico have slumped in the league recently, with just one win in four rounds, and as a result have dropped to fifth place in the standings, behind Athletic Bilbao. In the last nine rounds in the Primera they won only the teams located in the lower part of the standings – Villarreal CF (3:1), Mallorca (1:0), UD Almeria (2:1) and Sevilla FC (1:0), and drew with Getafe CF (3:3), lost to UD Las Palmas (1:2), Barcelona (0:1), Athletic from Bilbao (0:2). In the first match of 2024, the Colchoneros lost 4:3 away to Girona and are now ten points behind Real Madrid, who are leading La Liga.

And this is despite the fact that Simeone released a good half of the main squad. The Argentine specialist faces a difficult choice. He recently admitted that three Atletico players may leave for Saudi Arabia because they are not getting enough playing time.

It was a crazy game in every sense, Girona opened the scoring in the 2nd minute and led throughout the game, but in both cases the opponent equalized. All three goals were scored by Alvaro Morata (assisted twice by Rodrigo De Paul): two goals in the first half, one in the second. Morata could have had a hat-trick in the first half, when he scored in stoppage time, but the goal was disallowed due to offside. Still, Atletico couldn’t even hold on to a draw: Ivan Martin scored the fourth and winning goal in the first minute of extra time.

All hope in the upcoming game is on Antoine Griezmann and Morata. It was their goals that helped beat Real Madrid in the last face-off. In 25 matches in all official tournaments, the Frenchman and the Spaniard scored a total of 33 goals and also gave five assists.

Despite this disappointing setback, the Mattress Makers rehabilitated themselves in the Copa del Rey last week, beating CD Lugo 1:3 on Saturday thanks to a goal from Angel Correa and a double from Memphis Depay. It’s important to note that the Whites and Reds have conceded as many as ten goals in their five most recent meetings in all competitions, which can’t help but worry coach Diego Simeone

Alvaro Marata scored all 3 goals in the game against Girona FC

Not going with the team injured Thomas Lemar (unavailable until at least March), as well as Vitolo (not part of Simeone’s plans) and promising Pablo Barrios (9 appearances in La Liga this season, injured). As for the rest of the squad, the squad is fully stocked: Griezmann (11 goals, 3 assists) and Alvaro Morata (12 league goals) will make up the visitors’ attacking duo. 

Mario Hermoso, Samuel Lino, Koke, Marcos Llorente and Rodrigo De Paul should return to the starting lineup after being left on the bench in Saturday’s match against Lugo, a team from Spain’s third division, while Jan Oblak will take his place in goal. The center of defense will be cemented by Jose Gimenez and Axel Witsel, while Memphis Depay is ready to strengthen the game with a second-half substitution.

That didn’t stop Atletico from never losing in their Champions League group – the club won four times and drew twice, finishing top of the quartet with SS Lazio, Feyenoord and Celtic FC.  

Real Madrid form guide: D-W-W-W-W-W

Atletico Madrid form guide: W-L-D-W-L-W

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Head-To-Head Record:

Real MadridDrawAtletico Madrid
  • September 18, 2022: Atletico Madrid 1 – 2 Real Madrid (La Liga);
  • January 26, 2023: Real Madrid 3 – 1 Atletico Madrid (Copa Del Rey);
  • February 25, 2023: Real Madrid 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid (La Liga);
  • September 24, 2023: Atletico Madrid 3 – 1 Real Madrid (La Liga).

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Predicted XI:

Real Madrid’s possible starting lineup (4-3-1-2): Lunin; Carvajal, Rudiger, Nacho, Mendy; Valverde, Kroos, Modric, Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinicius.

Atletico Madrid’s possible starting lineup (3-1-4-2): Oblak; Molina; Gimenez, Witsel, Hermoso, Lino; Llorente, Koke, De Paul; Griezmann, Morata.

Statistical preview of the match Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid:

  • Real Madrid’s First XI average age is 27.4 years, Atletico’s First XI average age is 29.7 years.
  • Alberola Rojas has been appointed as the center referee. The referee has already served 8 games this season, showing an average of 4.63 Yellow Cards and also whistles 27 fouls per game. 
  • The total value of Real’s squad is 1.04 bln euros , while the total of Atletico is 441 mln euros.
  • In their last 5 games, Real Madrid scored an average of 2.40 goals per game and conceded an average of 0.80 goals per game.
  • In their last 5 games, Atletico conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game and scored an average of 2.00 goals per game.
  • Real are serving an average of 6.85 corners on the season, while Atletico are serving 4.77. 
  • Real will receive an average of 1.65 yellow cards in the 2023/24 season, while Atletico will receive an average of 2.15. 
  • In the last six games in this tournament, Real Madrid have only one win in regular time (3 draws and 2 defeats).
  • Both teams have scored in 90 minutes in 4 of Real Madrid’s 5 previous matches in the Spanish Super Cup.
  • In 7 previous matches in the Spanish Super Cup, Atletico have lost only once in regulation time (2 wins and 4 draws).
  • No more than two goals have been scored in 90 minutes in 5 of Atletico’s last 7 games in this tournament.

What has been said before the match:

Coach of the Whites Carlo Ancelotti ahead of the Super Cup game with Atletico:

“The  Super Cup  is an important competition and we want to do everything we can to win it. The team is in good shape. We have the desire and motivation, we’re recovering players and I think we can put on a good performance, considering that Atlético hurt us in the first game we played.”

“We have to take that into account because they’re a team that competes, fights and has quality. It’ll be a competitive and evenly matched game.”

“The fixture list is what it is, we’ve been drawn against Atlético and we’re going to play them again. It’s not that I like encountering Atlético because they’re one of the best teams and it’s always tough.”

“We have to play. But it’s the same mindset that Atlético will have. We’re both very strong teams. “I think  Real Madrid  and Atlético fans are going to enjoy these matches.”

“The last game we played did us a lot of damage. It looks like we fixed the damage and tomorrow we can produce a better performance than we did in the first game of the season against Atlético Madrid.”

Real Madrid vs Atletico Madrid Prediction:

Real Madrid approaches the derby with a 19-match unbeaten streak in all official tournaments, with only three draws in that stretch. At the same time, Los Rojiblancos are feeling extra turbulent, claiming only two wins from their last 5 matches and trailing by as much as 10 points from their forthcoming counterpart in La Liga.

Carlo Ancelotti’s men produce very balanced and quality performances one by one, and a defensive part is particularly striking here: Real concede just 0.58 goals per 90 minutes on average (best in the league), while having scored 2 times per match. Diego Simeone is sure to set his charges right for the upcoming match, he knows Los Blancos and their strategies quite well. The Indians control the ball a lot and attack at the same level as their rivals, 2 goals per match. To be able to attack like this, the Red-Whites have to take more risks, with less opportunities, energy and time to react in defense – hence the 1.21 conceded every 90 minutes, the promising figure for Modric and Co. 

In the upcoming encounter, we expect quite an open game and a considerable number of goal-scoring chances. Atletico are no longer a closed team, while Real have recovered the most important element of the attack – Vinicius, who has significantly strengthened the team. Plus, the history of meetings speaks in favor of the attacking nature of the match: the last four Madrid derbies ended with an exchange of goals, and three matches saw more than 2.5 goals scored. In addition, the semi-final of the Spanish Super Cup takes place in Riyadh at the stadium of Cristiano Ronaldo’s team. By and large, the tournament is an exhibition tournament, so the teams are unlikely to play too cautiously in defense or go into hard tackles, which will also play into the hands of the attacking players. 

Parimatch News staff prediction:

We say: the match total will be over 2.5 – Yes.

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