Netherlands vs Turkey. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more

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During this Euro tournament, it became evident that having a renowned team name doesn’t guarantee unstoppable success. Can Turkey continue to defy expectations and overcome the formidable Netherlands?

Netherlands will face Turkey in the UEFA EURO 2024 quarterfinal match at the Olympic Stadium in Berlin. The fixture will take place on Sunday, July 7, beginning at 00:30 IST.

Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Netherlands News & Current Form: 

At the previous Euro 2020, the Dutch were unexpectedly eliminated in the Round of 16 by the Czech Republic (0:2). At the last major tournament, the 2022 FIFA World Cup in Qatar, the Netherlands reached the quarter-finals, where they lost to Argentina in a penalty shootout (3:4) following a 2:2 draw after regular time. It is worth noting that the South Americans went on to win the trophy.

The Oranje national team currently boasts a mix of promising young talents and experienced veterans, capable of achieving much in this tournament, as they have already demonstrated. This blend of youth and experience creates a balanced squad.

In the Euro 2024 qualifying tournament, the Netherlands performed well, securing their spot in the finals by finishing second in their group. They amassed 18 points from eight matches, with six wins and two losses, both against the group leaders, France. Virgil van Dijk and Co. scored 17 goals and conceded 7, with six of those goals coming from the French.

The current European tournament started well for the Orange Ones, as they defeated Poland (2:1) in their opening match, despite the opponent’s valiant effort even without Robert Lewandowski. Despite the opponent’s frequent initiatives, the Dutch managed to turn the match around. Koeman’s side displayed an interesting central playstyle, with deep movements of Memphis Depay, the creativity of Xavi Simons, and the dynamic runs of Cody Gakpo making their attack unpredictable. Additionally, Denzel Dumfries was a constant threat in the opponent’s penalty area. Goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen was crucial in their build-up play and performed well on the line, securing his spot in goal.

Next, they played a goalless draw against France, who had a slight edge in terms of gameplay, but the Dutch defended solidly and did not concede (0:0). Despite the positive result in the first match, the head coach made some changes to the lineup, bringing in Jeremie Frimpong.

In the final group stage match, the Netherlands lost to Austria (2:3). It was a thrilling match where the Dutch were always playing catch-up but could not equalise after the Reds’ third goal. The first half saw just one goal, an own goal by Donyell Malen, while the second half turned into a goal fest with four goals netted. The four points earned allowed the Oranje to secure third place in Group D, which granted them a place in the Round of 16, where they faced the unexpected group winners, Romania.

In the first knockout match, Koeman’s team comfortably defeated their opponents, boosting their confidence ahead of the quarter-finals (3:0). Gakpo and substitute Malen played brilliantly: the Liverpool FC winger recorded a goal and an assist, though one of his goals was disallowed for offside, while the Borussia Dortmund player scored twice in the last 10 minutes. Gakpo even matched the tournament’s top scorers (with three goals) and leaders in the “goals + assists” chart (four points).

“He played an incredibly important role once again. He is physically strong, fast, and very skilled,” praised Cody the Netherlands’ head coach Ronald Koeman.

Borussia Dortmund’s Donyell Malen scored a double in the last 10 minutes of the match against Romania

The Flying Dutchmen reaffirmed their status as favourites by skilfully exploiting space and capitalising on the defensive errors of their opponents. This was an excellent recovery from their inconsistent group-stage performance against Austria. Now, the men of Koeman are expected to progress to the semi-finals of the European Championship. Their next opponent is formidable but not significantly stronger than Romania.

The Dutch squad has no suspended players, but there is some concern over the condition of Steven Bergwijn, as he was substituted at half-time in the ⅛ final match due to health issues.

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Turkey News & Current Form: 

Turkey are the most unexpected quarter-finalists of the European Championship. In recent years, they have not had much success. The last time they achieved significant results in a major tournament was in 2008, when they won bronze medals at Euro 2008, losing in the semi-finals to Germany (2:3). At the last Euro 2020, the Reds managed to qualify for the main tournament but failed to progress beyond the group stage. They did not earn a single point in their three group matches against Switzerland, Italy, and Wales.

In the Euro 2024 qualifiers, the Crescent Stars performed impressively, finishing top of their group, one point ahead of Croatia. They accumulated 17 points from 8 matches, suffering only one defeat. Their group also included Wales, Armenia, and Latvia. In the group stage of the current European tournament, Turkey performed well, finishing in second place, level on 6 points with Portugal, but ranked lower due to their head-to-head defeat.

In the first group match, the charges of Vincenzo Montella defeated Georgia in a hard-fought game (3:1). The game was end-to-end, but Turkey was more efficient in converting their chances, with Arda Güler scoring a magnificent long-range goal in the middle of the second half. In the dying moments of the match, the Stars scored their third goal after the Georgian goalkeeper ventured too far forward. 

In the second match, Hakan Çalhanoğlu and Co. were outclassed by Portugal (0:3), failing to recover after a poor start. Their attack faltered, and their defence was porous.

In the final group match, Turkey secured a crucial victory over the Czech Republic (2:1). A Czech player was sent off in the 20th minute after two harsh fouls, which significantly influenced the match’s outcome. Çalhanoğlu opened the scoring with a beautiful goal. Although the opponent equalised, Cenk Tosun scored in the 94th minute to secure the win.

In the first knockout match, Turkey heroically defeated a strong Austria side (2:1). Montella’s men opened the scoring through defender Merih Demiral in the first minute. He scored again in the 59th minute, but the opponent quickly responded. The Reds spent the remaining 30 minutes defending staunchly, with goalkeeper Mert Günok making a crucial save at the end to prevent the match from going into extra time. Players guided by coach Vincenzo fought with great determination, showcasing true grit.

“I thank our fans and the whole team. I am happy to experience these unparalleled emotions. I hope we continue our winning ways. As for our goalkeeper, Mert had a fantastic match, saving the team in difficult situations. Thank you for that,”

said Turkey defender Demiral after the match.

Vincenzo’s charges have conceded in every Euro meeting – a total of six goals accumulated, also only Georgia were worse in terms of xG allowed. Despite defensive shortcomings, Turkey’s attack has been vibrant – they failed to score only against Portugal, netting at least two goals in the other three matches.

the age of 19, Arda Güler has already scored a goal and assisted at the European Championship

Nineteen-year-old Arda Güler has had a fantastic Euro so far: the Real Madrid CF midfielder has a goal and an assist, matching the achievements of Wayne Rooney and Cristiano Ronaldo at a younger age. Central defender Demiral also has two goal contributions, scoring twice against Austria from corners.

It seems Turkey will always have players suspended due to yellow card accumulation. Against the Netherlands, they will miss two midfielders – key player Orkun Kökçü and Ismail Yüksek, who often deputises for more prominent teammates.

Netherlands form guide: W-W-W-D-L-W

Turkey form guide: D-L-W-L-W-W

Netherlands vs Turkey Head-To-Head Record:

  • September 6, 2015: Turkey 3 – 0 Netherlands (UEFA EURO);
  • March 24, 2021: Turkey 4 – 2 Netherlands (FIFA World Cup);
  • September 7, 2021: Netherlands 6 – 1 Turkey (FIFA World Cup).

Netherlands vs Turkey Predicted XI:

Netherlands’ possible starting lineup (4-3-3): Verbruggen; Dumfries, De Vrij, Van Dijk, Ake; Reijnders, Schouten; Frimpong, Simons, Gakpo; Depay.

Turkey’s possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1): Gunok; Muldur, Demiral, Bardakci, Kadioglu; Yuksek, Yokuslu; Kahveci, Guler, Yildiz; Yilmaz.

Statistical preview of the match Netherlands vs Turkey:

  • The Dutch national team holds 7th place in the FIFA ranking of national squads, while the Turkish collective is ranked 42nd.
  • The Netherlands’ First XI average age is 27.3 years, and Turkey’s First XI average age is 26.4 years.
  • Clement Turpin has been appointed as the centre referee. The match official has already served 25 games this season, showing an average of 3.6 yellow cards and also whistles 24 fouls per game. 
  • The Netherlands have not lost in 5 of their last 7 matches.
  • The Netherlands conceded an average of 0.80 goals per game in their last 5 games and scored an average of 2.20 goals per game.
  • The Oranje have scored at least two goals in five of their last six matches.
  • In the last 5 games, Turkey conceded an average of 1.60 goals per game and scored an average of 1.60 goals per game.
  • Four of their last five matches involving Turkey have seen an exchange of goals.

What has been said before the match:

Netherlands head coach Ronald Koeman on the end result, maintaining the same level of play, people comparing the Netherlands national team now and 40 years ago, and the problems of many national teams:

“The final result is always the most important thing. But this is the level. If we go down from this, we don’t reach the final. Even today the start was difficult but finally, we found our positions and we scored the first great goal by Gakpo. The one critical point was that it took too long to score the second.”

“Something it’s difficult to explain is why one time you play badly and one time you are sharp. Maybe it’s what happens from the beginning that makes the difference. I think we can still improve a lot if you want to be critical after a nice afternoon.”

“We still have great talents in the team. You need to win something then you will be compared positively with 88. But it’s more difficult than that, football has changed. It’s physical, you need to be fast, you need to be technical. You saw it in all the last few matches; England, Portugal everybody has their problems to continue. That means you have had good games. One of those was today, and we created a lot.”

Gaffer of the Turkish team Vincenzo Montella about not giving up against Austrians and embracing the dreams:

“No one gave up. Everyone gave a bit extra in terms of their soul, and for a head coach, you know that there are matches such as these and you can only win matches such as these if there is a soul within the squad. There’s that belief, that conviction. I could go on all night, but I saw all of those attributes, and that makes me very proud.”

“I respect Austria, I respect their head coach, I respect their game plan, the tactics that they implemented on the pitch. But we head coaches, just like footballers, are competitors. And I had that real competitive instinct deep within me because I wanted to change this result.”

“We’ve got a huge following. There’s passion and the love is really visceral back home in Turkey, so I’m very happy to have handed Turks a bit of pride. So this responsibility, this love and support, we constantly feel it. But you can only really embrace these dreams if you work hard right from day one. We’ve done that right from the outset. We’ll really celebrate tonight, but as of tomorrow, we get down to work.”

Netherlands vs Turkey Prediction:

The Netherlands’ game-style evolution in the 1/8 final against Romania (3-0) puts them among the hidden favourites of Euro 2024. Cody Gakpo and company will play their usual attacking football against Turkey, while Montella’s band has personnel losses again. 

The Netherlands’ stunning dominance in the previous game was the upshot of Koeman’s homework and fine-tuning. The Flying Dutchmen took 24 shots at the Romanian goal and created as many as 2.77 xG, while Malen’s double and Gakpo’s goal were complemented by the Liverpool winger’s cancelled goal – which would have made him the sole leader of the top scorer’s race. Koeman is likely to keep the starting line-up unchanged: the transfer of youngster Xavi Simons to the midfield allowed the Netherlands to create more dangerous chances. 

Turkey’s emotional 2-1 win over Austria seemed to turn a blind eye to the team’s frequent defensive errors. Rangnick’s players created a huge difference in xG (2.73 vs. 0.87) and also took almost 4 times as many shots (21 vs. 6). Captain Çalhanoglu returns to Montella’s squad. Still, the important midfielders Kökçü and Jüksek are out due to yellow cards, without them the centre of the pitch will be weakened.

The Dutch national team have been struggling against Turkey for some time when they suffered two defeats with a total score of 2:7 in three head-to-head meetings, and in the other one, there was a 1:1 draw. After that, the Oranges made amends by defeating their opponents 6-1 in the last meeting, so now Ronald Koeman’s wards should not have any psychological problems. 

What kind of game will we see? There is a pattern of low match totals in this Euro 2024 campaign. Most national teams play pragmatically, minimise the risk of mistakes and see the reliability of defensive formations as their main guideline, but the Netherlands and Turkey are not among them. Both teams have scored in three of their four Euro games and have only sometimes been reliable in defence: the Turks have never secured a clean sheet, while the Dutch have conceded in half of their games. Plus the leaders – Cody Gakpo and Arda Guler – are in excellent form. In the last nine matches, the Oranje have seen 32 goals in total (3.56 average per game), while the Crescent-Starshave scored and conceded a combined 23 goals (3.29 average per game) in their previous seven battles. In addition, the rivals have scored 16 goals (5.33 average per game) in their last three head-to-head meetings. We expect spectacular and productive football from this pair.

Despite finishing third in Group D, the Netherlands have been showing very cohesive and eye-catching football throughout Euro 2024, and in the 1/8 finals, they proved that they are capable of producing needed results with conviction and confidence, allowing them to qualify for the quarter-finals for the first time in 16 years. We expect that unstable defence, personnel difficulties, and the chaotic attacking-minded style of Turkey will be their weak points in the quarter-finals against the star-studded balanced Dutch team. The Netherlands will score at least 2 goals, which will earn them a place in the semi-finals.

Parimatch News staff prediction:

We say: The Netherlands will win with an individual total of more than 1.5 goals – Yes.

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