Inter Milan vs Salernitana. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more

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Will the Garnets be able to upset the Nerazzurri, who are sweeping away everyone in their path to Scudetto?

Inter Milan will host US Salernitana 1919 in the Serie A 25th round match at the San Siro Stadium. The fixture will take place on Saturday, February 17, beginning at 01:30 IST.

Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Inter Milan News & Current Form: 

Inter are currently leading the table with 60 points and are seven points ahead of second-placed Juventus FC, with the Old Lady having played one more match – such a handicap practically puts an end to the intrigue in the championship race. 

The Blue and Blacks made a few mistakes in the first round, but competing on two fronts, spent the first half of the season very steadily and achieved interim success on each of them. 

Since the end of September, the team from Lombardy has lost just once in the national championship, also winning all of their last 5 matches in 2024. Thus, the wards of Simone Inzaghi after the victory against Juventus took three points away from Rome without their head coach, who was disqualified. The Nerazzurri lost the first half to AS Roma, but after the break scored twice, and in the final seconds of the game caught the opponent on the counterattack (4:2).

The results are not consistent only in the sense that Inter could have scored more. This is especially true for the game against Juventus, in which they created a lot of scoring chances. If not for the opposing defenders and Wojciech Szczęsny, the score would have been a rout. However, the club’s performance looks daunting as it is. In 32 matches in all official tournaments, they scored 68 goals. 

Inter also won the Supercoppa Italiana in January, with goals from Lautaro Martinez, Francesco Acerbi, Marcus Thuram and Alessandro Bastoni. Coach Inzaghi has won the trophy twice with Lazio and three times with the Snakes. The hosts are performing well at home in the current campaign: in 11 rounds they have collected 28 points, scored 26 goals and conceded only 6 (the best in the league, on par with the Old Lady).

In addition to their excellent performance, the Nerazzurri have their defense in order. On average, they concede the least amount of goals per game in the top European championships. Yann Sommer deserves special praise, the Swiss goalkeeper is in great shape and regularly makes saves.

Best scorer of Inter Milan and Serie A league – Lautaro Martinez

Next Tuesday Simone Inzaghi’s team will host Atletico de Madrid in the first match of the ⅛ UEFA Champions League finals, so the coaching staff can resort to rotation of the squad. The injured Juan Cuadrado and Davide Frattesi, as well as midfielder Stefano Sensi, will not be able to play this Saturday. The same can be said about key center back Acerbi, who suffered a minor injury in Rome.

Captain Lautaro Martinez remains Serie A’s top scorer with 19 goals and will definitely be in the starting lineup, Marcus Thuram (9 goals and 7 assists) is expected to keep him company. Marko Arnautovic, Carlos Augusto and possibly Alexis Sanchez will also get playing time in the second half. 

Salernitana News & Current Form: 

Salernitana were hardly among the main candidates for relegation before the start of the current season, but from the very first rounds began to lose points regularly. The failed summer transfer campaign led to the fact that the Garnets found themselves at the bottom of the table and neither Paulo Sousa nor Filippo Inzaghi were able to bring the team out of the crisis.

It should be noted that the sporting director of the club Walter Sabatini called Inzaghi the most suitable coach for this team before, but a series of failures of the team forced the club management to dismiss the coach.

The last straw was the home defeat of Salernitana in the match of the 24th round of Serie A from Empoli FC (1:3), it was the 15th defeat of the championship. So Sabatini, along with club president Danilo Iervolino, deprived everyone of the brotherly derby – Simone vs. Filippo. The director apologized to the coach for this dismissal and admitted that he could not help him even more. Inzaghi himself criticized this decision of the management.

To replace Inzaghi Fabio Liverani was invited. He has already made it clear that he intends to try to save himself this season with the help of Antonio Candreva and Boulaye Dia

“Inter are built to win, but even against a team like this you can go out on the pitch and get a result,” said the new coach.

Have the bosses of the Garnets made a hasty decision? Under Filippo, the indicators have become a little, but better. The team’s performance has increased, plus they started to concede less often in matches against strong opponents. It is unlikely that the coaching succession will have a favorable effect on the team.

Recently appointed coach of Salernitana – Fabio Liverani

The team is at the bottom of the standings of the Italian championship. The lag from Sassuolo on the saving 17th line is seven points. With a high probability at the end of the season the Garnets will go to the second most important division of the country.

The team from Salerno won only 2 out of 24 matches in Serie A, and also played seven times in a draw. Over that stretch of time, it has scored only 20 goals, while conceding 47 – the most ever.

Not least of all, such terrible statistics are due to the injury to Guillermo Ochoa. He dislocated his shoulder while playing for the national team against Honduras. However, even after Ochoa’s return to the Granata lineup, the situation has not improved. In the last six rounds in Serie A they have not celebrated a single victory.

Inter Milan form guide: W-W-W-W-W-W

Salernitana form guide: L-L-L-L-D-L

Inter Milan vs Salernitana Head-To-Head Record:

Inter MilanDrawSalernitana

Inter Milan vs Salernitana Predicted XI:

Inter Milan’s possible starting lineup (3-5-2): Sommer; Pavard, De Vrij, Bastoni; Dumfries, Barella, Calhanoglu, Mkhitaryan, Augusto; Martinez, Arnautovic.

Salernitana’s possible starting lineup (4-2-3-1): Ochoa; Pierozzi, Boateng, Bronn; Zanoli, Maggiore, Basic, Pellegrino; Candreva, Kastanos; Dia.

Statistical preview of the match Inter Milan vs Salernitana:

  • Inter’s First XI average age is 27.5 years, Salernitana’s First XI average age is 28.9 years.
  • The total value of Inter’s squad is 588 mln euros, while the total of Salernitana comes up to just 86 mln euros.
  • Marco Piccinini has been appointed as the center referee. The referee has already served 8 games this season, showing an average of 4 Yellow Cards and also whistles 22 fouls per game. 
  • Milan’s unbeaten streak in Italy’s strongest league has reached 17 matches (14 wins, 3 draws).
  • Inter scored at least two goals in 5 of the last 7 games in the league.
  • In six previous home meetings in Serie A Inter conceded only one goal.
  • The Garnets have conceded at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 games in Serie A.
  • Both opponents have differentiated themselves in 8 of Salernitana’s 10 previous games in the elite Italian division.
  • On the road in this tournament, Salernitana have not won in 19 of the last 20 matches (9 draws, 10 defeats).
  • On average, the Nerazzurri score 2.36 goals at home, while conceding only 0.55 goals per game. Salernitana on the road differs on average only 0.64 times per game, while conceding an average of 1.82 goals per match. 
  • Only 1.09 yellow cards are received on average by the Nerazzurri during home games and exactly two yellow cards on average are earned by the away side. 

What has been said before the match:

New gaffer of Salerninata Fabio Liverani ahead of his debut in a match against the leader of the league, Inter Milan:

“Tomorrow we face a team of the highest technical value in each of its members who are collecting all possible records in this league. Inter has a roster built to win everything but this does not mean that in the dry game we cannot play them.”

“The difficulties of this match do not change what must be our path that we have to create brick by brick starting as early as tomorrow’s match. We will need a game of desire and sacrifice, we must be compact and try to take advantage of the opportunities that will happen to hurt.”

“Paradoxically, the biggest problem in these first few days of work was having a short week because we already play tomorrow and we only had three days of training plus this morning’s finishing.”

“The team has absorbed a somewhat different kind of work with great desire and focus.Now the yardstick and the mirror of daily work will be the game.We have some players to manage and tomorrow we will need an important performance with great attention and desire to give everything.”

“This square has always been dragged by a hunger and desire for soccer in every category, those who have been doing soccer like me for many years know very well the strength of the Salerno fans and their choice to drag the team to the end shows great maturity. As I said during the presentation, we are the ones who have to give something to our people because we are in debt.”

Inter Milan vs Salernitana Prediction:

Inter are firmly in the lead in Serie A, already seven points ahead of their nearest rivals. The Milanese are looking excellent both in attack (having scored 2.5 goals per game on average during the 23/24 campaign; best in the league) and in defense, boasting the lowest goals conceded average of just 0.5 per 90 minutes. 

Salernitana, in contrast, have slipped down the pecking order and now sit in last place, seven points behind the survival zone. Looking at the standings, it is shocking that a total of 47 points separate the opponents, with Simone Inzaghi’s side having one game in hand. What can the team with the worst goal difference in the league (-27) do to surprise the Serie A leaders? There can hardly be any argument, and it’s worth considering that the match takes place at the San Siro, where even much more classy opponents are unable to resist. 

In the first face-to-face battle of the current season, which took place in Salerno, Simone Inzaghi’s men defeated Filippo Inzaghi’s charges 4:0. In addition, the Milanese have scored 17 goals in 5 previous head-to-head meetings. In the last round, Inter managed to net four goals against a more statuesque and organized Roma at Stadio Olimpico, so we believe that the leaders will continue their triumphant march in a confident manner, with at least 1.5 goals expected from Lautaro Martinez and Co.

Parimatch News staff prediction:

We say: Inter Milan will win with an individual total over 1.5 – Yes.