Arsenal vs Brentford. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more

Arsenal FC will host Brentford FC in the English Premier League 28th round match at the Emirates Stadium. The fixture will take place on Saturday, March 9, beginning at 23:00 IST.

Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Arsenal News & Current Form: 

The team of Mikel Arteta after 27 rounds is in third place in the standings of the English Premier League with 61 points. The Gunners are only two points behind Liverpool FC and one point behind Manchester City. But the Reds and the Citizens will play each other at Anfield the next day, and the London club could lead the championship race if the circumstances are right. Subject to their victory over Brentford, of course.

In 2024, Arsenal are simply tearing up the English Premier League: Arteta’s team now has seven consecutive league wins. And only in one of these seven meetings the team scored less than three goals – lucky were only Nottingham Forest FC, who conceded just 2 times. Crystal Palace FC were thrashed with a score of 5:0, Liverpool (3:1), West Ham United FC (0:6), Burnley FC (0:5), Newcastle United FC (4:1) and Sheffield United FC last Monday (0:6).

Mikel Arteta was named the Manager of the Month in the Premier League

By the 25th minute, Arteta’s men had a four-goal lead thanks to strikes from Gabriel Martinelli, Martin Odegaard, Kai Havertz and an auto goal from Jayden Bogle, while a left-footed shot by Ben White sealed Arsenal’s biggest away win in EPL history. 

The London club lost 1:0 to FC Porto in the UEFA Champions League play-offs and will look to turn the tide in the return leg next Tuesday. Dutch defender Jurien Timber was injured in the first leg and is still recovering in the infirmary. In addition, Mikel Arteta will not be able to count on the important left-back Oleksandr Zinchenko and the versatile Takehiro Tomiyasu. 

The central defensive pairing of William Saliba and Gabriel Magalhães provides the best defense in the EPL (only 23 goals conceded). Midfielder Declan Rice is having an outstanding season and will definitely be in the starting lineup, while Martinelli, Odegaard, Leandro Trossard, Havertz and Bukayo Saka may appear in the attack. It is important to note that the hosts will not be able to use the services of Brentford’s goalkeeper David Raya, who will be replaced by Aaron Ramsdale.

Brentford News & Current Form: 

For Brentford, the current season is much worse than the last one. A year earlier, the team for a long time seriously aspired to get into the European Cup, but then as if they themselves did not like this arrangement, and therefore they began to lose points by the packs, turning into a solid mid-table collective of the Premier League. 

Now the team of Thomas Frank goes on the 15th position in the championship with 26 points. The Bees have a 6-point gap from the relegation zone, but if Luton Town FC defeat AFC Bournemouth in the unfinished game, the 6-point handicap will turn into 3. And then the rather comfortable stay in the middle of the table may be interrupted, and the fight for survival will begin.

Ben Mee of Brentford FC can miss the rest of the season due to a serious injury

Over the last 7 rounds the capital have won only one victory, 1 draw and 5 conceded. After three consecutive defeats from Liverpool, Manchester City and West Ham, Brentford played a draw with Chelsea FC (2:2) last weekend. 

A first EPL goal from Mads Roerslev and a crazy-looking strike from Yoane Wissa turned the tide of the West London derby after a Nicolas Jackson goal, but Axel Disasi restored parity on the scoreboard in the 83rd minute. It is important to note that seven of the team’s eight away games have ended in defeat, the only exception being the 0:2 success at Molineux. 

Brentford are experiencing personnel problems due to the abundance of injured players. Key striker Bryan Mbeumo (7 goals and 3 assists), defenders Ethan Pinnock, Aaron Hickey and Rico Henry, as well as substitutes Josh Dasilva and Kevin Schade are absent from the squad for the upcoming tour. Before the duel with the Blues, club coach Frank announced the terrible news: Ben Mee will miss the rest of the season due to a fractured ankle sustained during the defeat to West Ham. 

Ivan Toney (4 goals in 8 EPL matches) can keep the opponents at the cutting edge of the attack with experienced Wissa (6 goals), who scored at the weekend, and French forward Neal Maupay (6 goals and 3 assists) will strengthen the game coming off the bench in the second half. 

Arsenal form guide: W-W-W-L-W-W

Brentford form guide: L-W-L-L-L-D

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Arsenal vs Brentford Head-To-Head Record:

• February 11, 2023: Arsenal 1 – 1 Brentford (Premier League);
• September 27, 2023: Brentford 0 – 1 Arsenal (League Cup);
• November 25, 2023: Brentford 0 – 1 Arsenal (Premier League).

Arsenal vs Brentford Predicted XI:

Arsenal’s possible starting lineup (4-3-3): Ramsdale; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Kiwior; Odegaard, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Havertz, Trossard.

Brentford’s possible starting lineup (3-5-2): Flekken; Zanka, Collins, Ajer; Roerslev, Janelt, Jensen, Norgaard, Reguilon; Wissa, Toney.

Statistical preview of the match Arsenal vs Brentford:

• Arsenal’s First XI average age is 25.3 years, Brentford’s First XI average age is 27.5 years.
• The total value of Arsenal’s squad is 1.11 bln euros, while the total of Brentford comes up to 407 mln euros.
• Robert Jones has been appointed as the center referee. The referee has already served 19 games this season, showing an average of 4.5 Yellow Cards and also whistles 24 fouls per game. 
• Arsenal have won their last 7 matches in the EPL and have scored at least three goals in each of their last 5 consecutive rounds. Moreover, Bukayo Saka has scored in five of the last seven matches.
• Brentford have not won in their last 4 meetings in the EPL and have conceded at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 10 matches in the league.
• Brentford can’t win against Arsenal for 4 matches.
• Brentford have won just 1 of their last 9 away matches.
• The xG rating shows an average of 2.06 expected goals per match for Arsenal and 1.54 for Brentford.
• Arsenal possess the ball on average 61.2% of the match’s playing time, while Brentford possess the ball on average 43.15%.
• Arsenal are caught offside on average 2.3 times per game, while Brentford are offside 1.8 times per game.
• Arsenal shoot at the opponents’ goal an average of 17.75 times per game, while Brentford shoot 12.05 times per game.
• In seven games, the Gunners have scored 31 goals – an average of 4.43 goals per game, while the Bees have now conceded 50 goals in the championship.
• Arsenal show a clear affinity for corner kicks and serve an average of 7 corners per game, while Brentford allow 6.3 feeds from the corner flag near their goal.
• Arsenal collect an average of 1.45 yellow cards per game, while Brentford average 2.35. 

What has been said before the match:

Gaffer of the Gunners Mikel Arteta ahead of EPL clash:

“Every point that we left, or we left this season hurts, and that’s still there. We have a lot to play for, the difficulty of the match is always really tough. We’ve played them twice already and we suffered, we always suffer against Brentford. On Saturday I expect a really similar match.”

“That’s the only thing we can control – perform well, play better than them and earn the right to win the game. Let’s do that and if we do that then on Sunday it’s a beautiful game to watch for any football supporter, and I will certainly be watching it.”

“I can’t control it. I will enjoy a magnificent game of football between two of the best teams in Europe in the last decade and let’s see what that brings, but the focus is on us and Brentford.”

“It’s great because it shows the quality and the consistency that the team is showing. The way that we have scored those goals as well, not only the manner but as well the personnel is a really positive thing to see. Then there’s the fact that we are conceding very little defensively so those ingredients together are very powerful to get results and consistency and we want more.”

“We know the demands that we have and the demands that Brentford are going to ask us to win the match and identify that. We are still not top of the league and we want to be better than where we are at the moment, and the other two are, so we have to continue to win.”

Arsenal vs Brentford Prediction:

After the New Year stretch, Arsenal are producing perhaps the most dominant football in the EPL, crushing their opponents regardless of their class. The Red-Whites have won the last seven consecutive rounds, with a total goal difference of 31:3. At the moment the Londoners are the most prolific team of the championship (68 goals in 27 rounds) – a phenomenal indicator by the standards of the incredibly competitive English Premier League. The team can also boast the most reliable defense in the league: they concede only 0.85 per match. Eight of the last ten matches involving Arsenal have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. At home, the Londoners have prevailed in 10 meetings out of 13 (with 2 draws and 1 loss). 

The Gunners approach the match in the optimal lineup, even given the unavailability of the key goalkeeper – David Raya – as the rights still belong to Brentford. The Spaniard’s absence will in no way affect Arsenal’s intentions, especially since he will be replaced by Aaron Ramsdale, who is motivated to prove his worth. Mikel Arteta’s team will try to repeat their signature trick, eliminating all questions about the winner before the break. The Gunners will need to do so especially this time, because in a few days they are set to play the decidedly difficult and extremely important Champions League 1/8 finals return leg against Porto. An additional motivation for the Londoners will be the opportunity to regain the lead in the league. If Arsenal win the derby, they will top the league table for at least a day, and if Liverpool and Manchester City have a draw, they will remain there after the game week.

Since Ivan Toney’s return, Brentford have scored a lot, but conceded even more, which makes the team still struggling for survival – just six points from the relegation zone. Thomas Frank’s charges can not flaunt their recent results: in the previous 7 games they gained only 4 points. The difference of goals scored and conceded is 10:17. It is noteworthy that the Bees recently did very well to contain the Citizens at the Etihad, back then Mark Flekken conceded a goal midway through the second half after an error by his center-back. However, now, given the sheer number of injured defenders (including the key Ben Mee), the potential for resultant slip-ups is greatly increased, and there are doubts that Brentford will be able to last that long at the Emirates. 

Brentford are hardly in a position to stop their neighbors. Thomas Frank’s side are extremely unstable, with wins coming only against their closest rivals in the second half of the table. In the current campaign, this London club had six meetings with representatives of the top-4 and lost in all of them. In addition, Brentford have nine defeats in 13 away games in the championship. We expect Bukayo Saka and his teammates to once again deliver a great performance in the attacking phase against the wobbling Bees, who concede twice per game on average, to seal their victory.

Parimatch News staff prediction:

We say: Arsenal will win with a handicap of (-1.5) – Yes.

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