Burnley vs Luton Town. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more
Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.
Burnley News & Current Form:
Having gained only 11 points in 20 rounds, Burnley are struggling for survival and deservedly remain at the bottom of the standings. EPL newcomers urgently need to reduce the 5-point gap from the saving 17th line, although the team has won only once out of the last 6 matches in the championship with one draw and 4 defeats.
It is worth noting that the upcoming meeting will be only the second home game this season against a direct rival. Earlier, the Maroons easily took out Sheffield United FC (5:0) at Turf Moor.
After the victory over Fulham FC (0:2), the hosts lost to Liverpool FC (0:2) and Aston Villa FC (3:2), conceding the decisive goal at the end of the match with a penalty in the second match. The team has long been out in the English Football League Cup, where the Clarets reached the 1/8 finals of the tournament, but there they lost away to Everton FC (0:3), conceding three unanswered goals.
Last weekend, Burnley also capitulated to Tottenham Hotspur FC in the 1/16 finals of the Emirates FA Cup (1:0) with a minimal score – in the 78th minute of the meeting, the right lateral Londoner Pedro Porro delivered a powerful long-range strike into the top corner of the opponent’s goal.
Now, the charges of Vincent Kompany may break the record of losing 10 of 11 home games in one season; in the history of the English Football League, such a fate befell only Newport County AFC in the 1970-71 campaign.
The team is still missing promising winger Luca Koleosho (1 goal and 1 assist) and Swedish midfielder Hjalmar Ekdal, who have not had time to recover sufficiently from injuries. In addition, the participation of defender Jordan Beyer remains in doubt, while Sander Berge is disqualified.
Lyle Foster (4 goals and 3 assists) and Zeki Amdouni (3 goals) can once again make up the attacking duo of the Clarets, both of whom scored in the last round. Kompany recently stated that Foster’s minor injury was not serious and he will be able to play on Saturday, while Connor Roberts or Ameen Al-Dakhil will be ready to fill in in defense if needed.
Luton Town News & Current Form:
Luton Town, who returned to the elite division this season, currently occupy the 18th place in the standings and, with 1 match in reserve, ahead of the upcoming opponent on 4 points. The guests have shown good form in recent weeks, which allows fans to keep hope of preserving their place in the EPL at the end of the campaign.
Luton recently scored two wins over Newcastle United FC (1:0) and Sheffield United (2:3), before losing to Chelsea FC (2:3) with a minimal margin. The club have scored their last three goals after the 80th minute, an indicator that they are struggling until the final whistle.
Last weekend the Hatters drew 0:0 at home with Bolton Wanderers FC in the FA Cup 1/16 finals, so now the clubs will face a replay. Despite 63% of possession and 18 shots on goal, charges of Rob Edwards could not crack the compact defense of the representative of the Championship. The team is also no longer playing in the League Cup, where they stopped fighting in the third round of the tournament, losing to out-of-state Exeter City FC (0:1) on the road.
It is important to note that the club has scored a more than decent 23 goals in the current championship, while conceding 37 goals (third from the bottom of the league). In terms of expected goals scored (xG = 1) and conceded (xGA = 2.03) the Hatters are third and second from the bottom of the league respectively.
Also, Luton are only good on their own field. Yes, away they have scored almost half of the points available to them, but undeservedly so. For example, they beat Everton (1:2) and Sheffield (2:3) away, but lost to them 2 xG and 1.8 xG respectively. They also took another point away from Nottingham Forest FC (2:2), creating 1.2 xG less than their opponents.
The White and Blues will have to do without their captain Tom Lockyer, who suffered a heart attack on the pitch in the game against AFC Bournemouth. Issa Kabore (supporting midfielder) and Marvelous Nakamba are also unavailable, while the long absent Dan Potts is still recovering in the infirmary.
The experienced Ross Barkley should be expected in midfield, while Elijah Adebayo (5 goals) will be on the cutting edge of the attack. Jacob Brown and Andros Townsend will take up positions on the flanks, although the former was absent from the team’s FA Cup squad.
Burnley form guide: D-L-W-L-L-L
Luton Town form guide: L-L-W-W-L-D
Burnley vs Luton Town Head-To-Head Record:
- August 6, 2022: Burnley 1 – 1 Luton Town (Championship);
- February 18, 2023: Luton Town 0 – 1 Burnley (Championship);
- October 3, 2023: Luton Town 1 – 2 Burnley (Championship).
Burnley vs Luton Town Predicted XI:
Burnley’s possible starting lineup (4-4-2): Trafford; Vitinho, O’Shea, Beyer, Roberts; Tresor, Berge, Brownhill, Odobert; Amdouni, Rodriguez.
Luton Town’s possible starting lineup (3-4-2-1): Kaminski; Osho, Mengi, Bell; Doughty, Barkley, Lokonga, Giles; Townsend, Adebayo, Brown.
Statistical preview of the match Burnley vs Luton Town:
- Burnley’s First XI average age is 25.3 years, Luton’s First XI average age is 26.9 years.
- Tony Harrington has been appointed as the center referee. The referee has already served seven games this season, showing an average of 4.43 Yellow Cards and also whistles 21 fouls per game.
- The total value of Burnley’s squad is 252 mln euros, while the total of Luton is 104 mln euros.
- The rivals have a liking for corner kicks and serve an average of 5.4 corners per game this season.
- Burnley are collecting an average of 1.95 yellow cards per game, while Luton Town – 1.75.
- Burnley have won only one victory in six previous matches in the EPL (1 draw and 4 defeats).
- No more than two goals were scored in 5 of the last 6 games of Burnley in the Premier League.
- The Clarets have a 20-match uncompromising series on its field in the EPL (5 wins and 15 defeats).
- At least three goals have been scored in 6 of Luton’s previous 7 EPL games.
- Both teams have scored in 9 of Luton Town’s last 11 matches in the league.
- The exchange of goals was only in two of the last seven home matches of Burnley.
What has been said before the match:
Gaffer of the Clarets Vincent Kompany ahead of the clash with direct rival:
“I think we’re past the point where we can’t deny the fact that we have to say every game is an opportunity to get a result. Our belief remains the same and that’s to get a result against Luton. It was the same against Villa, Liverpool and the other games, it’s down to us to make it happen.”
“I think both teams will be feeling confident in terms of how recent performances have gone for both of us and you can see the improvements made. The biggest similarities are that we can say at the very start of the campaign the gap between us and most of the teams we were facing.”
“For our last 12 games or so, you can now see that there hasn’t been that real gap in games and we’re competing more. Same goes for Luton, I can’t remember watching a game where they haven’t made a proper game of it.”
Rob Edwards, coach of the Hatters, about team’s recent results:
“The day-to-day harmony is important to me. For that, I want everyone. It’s my job – not to keep everyone happy, because I can’t – but to keep everyone motivated and focused and I think I’ve got that at the moment.”
“We’re lucky when we came in here a year ago that we were already coming into a brilliant group.We see every game is an opportunity for three points and if we can get that, and jump out for a few hours at least, then great. But there’s a long way to go in this season. We’ll concentrate on this game, it’s a good challenge, a difficult game. Burnley have hurt bigger and better teams than us this year.”
Burnley vs Luton Town Prediction:
The meeting of the teams fighting for survival in the strongest league in the world is always a great intrigue. Both teams expect to add to their point haul in this six-pointer, and the chances of that are almost equal. Yet, the visitors, with a number of convincing performances under their belt, have a slight edge in the battle of outsiders. Luton Town has noticeably improved in recent rounds: Rob Edwards’ side lost only by one goal to such mastodons as Arsenal and Manchester City, beat Newcastle, and in the last round, conceding three goals in the course of the meeting, almost leveled the score in the end of the game against Chelsea. Elijah Adebayo and company have scored in 5 of their previous 6 away games in the EPL. An interesting input is the fact that in 6 of the Hatter’s 7 previous games in the English Premier League, at least three goals have been scored in total. Their matches are often characterized by mutual goal-scoring as well: 9 out of the last 11 Luton Town matches have seen both teams adding at least on resultive shot to their account.
Burnley, in turn, have only picked up three points in 10 games at Turf Moor this season, and that was against Sheffield United, who are doomed to hang around in the bottom of the table. That said, the Clarets can boast of having outplayed Luton in the first round this season and last season away. But at home, Burnley have not been able to outplay the Hatters for five meetings – three draws and two defeats.
We expect that Rob Edwards and his men will pick at least 1 point in the upcoming meeting, while the match will provide us with plenty of goal scoring action resulting in exchange of goals.
Parimatch News staff prediction:
We say: both teams will score and Luton Town will not lose – Yes.