Arsenal vs Burnley. Prediction and Preview. Probable Lineups, Team News, Stats, and more

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Arsenal will play against Burnley in the 12th round of the English Premier League. Will Arteta's side get an easy three points?

Arsenal FC will host Burnley FC in the English Premier League 12th round match at the Emirates Stadium. The fixture will take place on Saturday, November 11, beginning at 20:30 IST.

Parimatch News will tell you everything you need to know ahead of the upcoming match.

Arsenal News & Current Form: 

Having returned to the pedestal of the EPL last season, Arsenal are once again in great form. Right now, the Londoners are 4th in the Premier League standings, just 3 points behind Manchester City. The Gunners have had a great start to their domestic campaign with 7 wins and 3 draws in the first 10 rounds. 

Last week, however, has been a real disappointment for the team. First, Mikel Arteta’s team crashed out of the English League Cup, losing to West Ham United FC (1:3), and then lost to Newcastle United FC (0:1), the first time in 17 rounds Arsenal failed to score. And a little earlier they barely avoided defeat to Chelsea FC (2:2)

The match against the Magpies caused a wave of indignation from the Reds. In the 64th minute of the game, winger Anthony Gordon opened the scoring, with Joelinton scoring the goal.

The Brazilian pushed defender Gabriel Magalhaes in the back while fighting for the ball in the goalkeeper’s area of the Gunners. Head referee Stuart Attwell consulted with the video assistant for several minutes and decided to count the goal, but he did not watch the replay himself. The VAR also looked at whether the ball had gone out of bounds before the cross to Joelinton and checked whether Newcastle’s attack was offside.

But in the end, the EPL Independent Commission on key episodes decided that the referee and his video assistant made the right decisions in the episode with the goal. The decision of the team was supported by 4 out of 5 experts.

Mikel Arteta believes that Stuart Attewell should have canceled the opponent’s goal:

“I praised the players for the way they played and battled in this stadium against this opponent. The result should have been different for a multitude of reasons. If any team was looking to win, it was Arsenal.”

“I am ashamed of what happened, of the fact that this goal was not canceled in a league we call the best in the world. I’ve been in this country for 20 years and now I’m ashamed. It’s a disgrace. There’s too much at stake. We’re trying to do unbelievable things, perform at the highest level every week.”

“When we’re not good enough, I accept responsibility for that. But what’s happened now is not up to the level it should be in this league, the kind of fight that goes on in this league. I’m ashamed to have anything to do with it.”

Also this week, the Londoners easily defeated Sevilla FC with a 2:0 score in the UEFA Champions League to secure their lead in the Quartet B. Leandro Trossard opened the scoring in the 29th minute of the game, and Bukayo Saka scored in the second half. 

As a result, the hosts need one more point in two rounds to guarantee themselves a playoff spot. It is worth noting that the Londoners have won each of their last three home matches and have not conceded a goal. 

Thomas Partey is out for 2 months because of a serious thigh injury

Moreover, in none of Arsenal’s previous 37 home games against teams recently relegated from the Championship, the Gunners have suffered a defeat – 32 wins and five draws. 

It should be noted that several important players will miss the upcoming game due to injuries. Arteta will not be able to count on captain Martin Odegaard, Gabriel Jesus, as well as summer signing Jurrien Timber and reserve winger Emile Smith Rowe. Thomas Partey, who will not return until January 2024 at the earliest, will also miss the game.

The Arsenal midfielder has undergone surgery for a thigh injury. He will not be able to play for two months at least, but it is still unknown exactly how much he will miss. The player suffered the injury in training ahead of the Champions League clash with Spaniards.

Eddie Nketiah is expected to take the vacant spot at the point of attack. Saka and Trossard, who scored against Sevilla, will keep Gabriel Martinelli company in attack. Oleksandr Zinchenko is also ready to go on the pitch, so Arteta sees no point in risking Takehiro Tomiyasu unnecessarily, as the Japanese suffered a minor injury last week.

Burnley News & Current Form: 

The return to the elite division is not easy for Burnley, which currently occupy 19th and penultimate place in the Premier League standings, being two points away from the saving 17th line. 

The team has picked up just four points in 11 rounds. After a 1:2 win over Luton Town FC, the Clarets lost to Chelsea (1:4), Brentford FC (3:0), AFC Bournemouth (2:1) and Crystal Palace FC last weekend (0:2). However, there is still reason for optimism. In the last two rounds they imposed their football and did not yield to their opponents in terms of the number of clear goal scoring chances (>0.3 xG).

In the game with the Eagles Burnley twice lost the ball close to their own goal, and twice were penalized for it: Jeffrey Schlupp opened the scoring and left-back Tyrick Mitchell burst into the penalty area to set the seal on a match that saw Kompany’s men become the first Premier League side to lose all six of their opening home games of the season. 

Vincent Kompany, coach who had a fabulous season in the Championship, is now struggling in EPL

The paltry number of goals scored (8) is the worst in the league at the moment, but fans can be consoled by the fact that all four points were gained away. What’s worse is the number of goals conceded (27), only another EPL newcomer Sheffield United FC conceded more this EPL season. 

Besides, Burnley will also no longer burden the participation in the English League Cup, because the away team also made a misfire, losing in a face-to-face confrontation to Everton FC with a score of 0:3. The sacking of the coach in this situation will hardly come as a surprise to anyone, but the Belgian has been getting trust extensions literally every week.

Defender Hjalmar Ekdal will again be unavailable this weekend due to injury. Strikers Michael Obafemi, Benson Manuel and Lyle Foster are also questionable for the match. The good news is the return to action after suspension of experienced midfielder Josh Cullen

This may prompt Vincent Kompany to sacrifice one of the attacking players in the scheme to strengthen the center of the pitch at the Emirates. Thus, Jay Rodriguez will remain on the bench if the Burnley boss opts for a more conservative formation.

Arsenal form guide: D-W-W-L-L-W

Burnley form guide: W-L-L-L-L-L

Arsenal vs Burnley Head-To-Head Record:

  • February 2, 2020: Burnley 0 – 0 Arsenal (Premier League);
  • December 13, 2020: Arsenal 0 – 1 Burnley (Premier League);
  • March 6, 2021: Burnley 1 – 1 Arsenal (Premier League);
  • September 18, 2021: Burnley 0 – 1 Arsenal (Premier League);
  • January 23, 2022: Arsenal 0 – 0 Burnley (Premier League).

Arsenal vs Burnley Predicted XI:

Arsenal’s possible starting lineup (4-3-3): Raya; White, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Havertz, Jorginho, Rice; Saka, Trossard, Martinelli.

Burnley’s possible starting lineup (4-4-2): Trafford; Roberts, O’Shea, Beyer, Taylor; Gudmundsson, Berge, Brownhill, Cullen, Koleosho; Amdouni.

Statistical preview of the match Arsenal vs Burnley:

  • The total value of Arsenal’s squad is 1.10 bln euros, while the total of Burnley is 256 mln euros.
  • Arsenal’s First XI average age is 25.9 years, Burnley’s First XI average age is 25.5 years.
  • Michael Oliver has been appointed as the center referee. The referee has already served sixteen games this season, showing an average of 5 Yellow Cards and also whistles 24.88 fouls per game. 
  • Arsenal have not lost in 17 of their last 18 matches against Burnley.
  • Arsenal have scored at least two goals in 5 of their last 6 matches at home.
  • Burnley have conceded two or more goals in 4 of their previous 5 matches in the EPL.
  • Arsenal are serving an average of 6.7 corners per game, while Burnley are allowing 4.81 corner kicks near their own goal. 
  • Burnley have won just 3 times in their last 25 away games in the Premier League (9 draws and 13 defeats).
  • Before last round’s defeat, the Gunners had an 11-match winless streak in the Premier League (8 wins and 3 draws).
  • At least one team has not scored in 4 of Arsenal’s last 5 games in the EPL.
  • The London club has not lost in 7 consecutive home games in the league (5 wins and 2 draws).

What has been said before the match:

Mikel Arteta about opponents’ coach and their results in the top league:

“I think Vincent Kompany was already a coach when he played. He was a leader, someone very intelligent that could navigate very different scenarios really well. In the dressing room and above, he understood the game really well. He spoke several languages and you could tell straight away that he was going to be a top coach.”

“Obviously he’s had a very strong career already. What they did last year was incredible, especially the way they did it. In this Premier League, we all have difficulties. We all have good moments and I’m really happy to see him doing what he’s doing.”

“Looking back on the games Burnley have played and the results they’ve got, in some of them they merited much more than what they got. I don’t think it reflects what they actually deserved in games. But that is the difficulty of this league. Sometimes when you deserve more you don’t get it because the quality of the opposition is so high. But the way they have transformed their way of playing, the club, and how they continue to play with the belief that they do, for me it’s remarkable.”

“I was very pleased with the performance against Sevilla, the way we won the game and how much we restricted the opponent to have a chance to get anything from the game, but there is still a lot to play for, the group is really tight and we still have to do a lot to be where we want to be.”

The Clarets’ coach Kompany about the mindset ahead of game at Emirates and the coach of Gunners:

“Our mindset doesn’t ever change. I think the desire to win has to be a habit and this dedicated group gives everything they can for this Club. Arsenal have top players and are a top team but it’s a chance to measure ourselves against some of the best and hopefully get a surprise result there.”

“There is no lack of effort amongst this team and they work very hard every single day and give their absolute best. I think belief is the most important thing and other than tactics, key moments to go our way and a little bit of luck, we have to believe to win.”

“Arsenal is a very complete team, you can see the journey they’ve been on. It’s a robust, strong squad with great technical ability, speed and is well coached. They have built a team now that is one of the best teams in the league and let’s not forget how Arteta was judged at the beginning of his time there. There’s been a project planned there since day one and with Arteta’s good mix of intelligence, passion and resilience, it’s worked out well for them.”

“When he was coaching he was still able to join in the training sessions at times and then he was extremely passionate, driven and dedicated to it. He had a big role behind the scenes for the club and I don’t think anyone would have doubted that he would go on to be a good manager.”

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction:

Following the results of the 11th round, the Gunners dropped to fourth place. Arsenal will definitely try to get to the international break with a positive result, visiting one of the biggest underdogs of the current campaign. In the last home game, Arsenal played against another relegation-threated team – Sheffield United – and had no trouble beating them 5:0. This game expects about the same scenario, although the Clarets are not exactly the boys to beat, they might show their mettle. And we believe that the visitors will be able to distinguish themselves at the Emirates Stadium: Burnley try to play exclusively on the counter-attack, and Arsenal are already playing extremely high, channelling a lot of energy into the attacking third, thus trying to neutralise the enemies’ counter-attacking inquiries at the expense of individual actions from, for example, William Saliba. At the same time, mistakes from the Frenchman and the rest of the Gunners’ defence are not that rare. Still, Vincent Kompany’s men will once again fail to pick up points in the current campaign, therefore, no surprises are expected at the Emirates.

Parimatch News staff prediction:

We say: Arsenal will win and Burnley’s individual total will be over 0.5 – Yes.